Bleak prospects for Baidya party
Indian analysts who have been closely watching the communist movement
in Nepal have described the recent division in the UCPN Maoist as an
"unfortunate incident". They have cautioned the splinter faction, which
formed a new party on Monday under Mohan Baidya, that the path it has
taken does not have "any future".
"Though Baidya is ideologically honest, the path he has taken is not a pragmatic one," said senior Indian journalist and a Maoist sympathiser Anand Swarup Verma.
"Attempts of revolution without taking cognizance of the current regional and international dynamics will be suicidal," he added.
In view of Professor SD Muni, the estranged Baidya group is capable of creating difficulties for its mother party and the whole political process only in the short run.
"But in the long run, he [Baidya] will go into oblivion," Muni tweeted. "He may become another Mohan Bikram [Singh]."
Professor of International Relations at Jawaharlal Nehru University Kamal Mitra Chenoy observed the split as a serious matter, quickly adding, however, that there is no possibility for the Baidya group of re-embracing a war.
He told the Post that Indian Maoists, who are critical of Pushpa Kamal Dahal for taking the path of peace and constitution, would probably be elated because "the revolutionary line still exists in Nepal with Baidya forming a new party".
Rights activist and another noted analyst who keeps tabs on Nepal's communist movement, Gautam Naulakha begged to differ. He termed the split in the Maoist party as a positive turn of events.
"The real issue is what kind of strategy political forces should adopt to bring transformation in Nepal. But Prachanda and Baburam moved on the path of compromise," Naulakha said.
"Though Baidya is ideologically honest, the path he has taken is not a pragmatic one," said senior Indian journalist and a Maoist sympathiser Anand Swarup Verma.
"Attempts of revolution without taking cognizance of the current regional and international dynamics will be suicidal," he added.
In view of Professor SD Muni, the estranged Baidya group is capable of creating difficulties for its mother party and the whole political process only in the short run.
"But in the long run, he [Baidya] will go into oblivion," Muni tweeted. "He may become another Mohan Bikram [Singh]."
Professor of International Relations at Jawaharlal Nehru University Kamal Mitra Chenoy observed the split as a serious matter, quickly adding, however, that there is no possibility for the Baidya group of re-embracing a war.
He told the Post that Indian Maoists, who are critical of Pushpa Kamal Dahal for taking the path of peace and constitution, would probably be elated because "the revolutionary line still exists in Nepal with Baidya forming a new party".
Rights activist and another noted analyst who keeps tabs on Nepal's communist movement, Gautam Naulakha begged to differ. He termed the split in the Maoist party as a positive turn of events.
"The real issue is what kind of strategy political forces should adopt to bring transformation in Nepal. But Prachanda and Baburam moved on the path of compromise," Naulakha said.
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